JR28 Weekly Market Brief
June 30th thru July 4th
JR28 Weekly Market Blueprint
Week of June 30 – July 4, 2025
JR28 | The Edge Within
🌟 “Success is not in what you have, but who you become.” — Bo Bennett
⚡ 1-Minute Market Recap: June 23–27, 2025
Last week, major U.S. indices surged to fresh all-time highs amid easing geopolitical tensions and dovish Fed commentary:
S&P 500 closed at 6,173, up 3.44%
Nasdaq 100 hit 22,534, up 4.20%
Russell 2000 gained 3.00%
Top movers included Nvidia (NVDA), soaring 9.66% to new highs, and Coinbase (COIN), surging 14.61% following a huge 27% rally the prior week. Tesla (TSLA) experienced high volatility, with a sharp wick move but ended the week up just 0.46%.
In commodities and fixed income, TLT gained 1.04%, gold dropped sharply 2.87%, and crude oil fell 11.27%, reflecting easing Middle East tensions and oil market concerns.
Friday’s U.S.-Canada trade drama roiled markets: President Trump abruptly terminated trade talks, targeting Canada’s 3% Digital Services Tax (DST) on U.S. tech firms and threatening tariffs on Canadian goods. Canada responded with steel quotas and surcharges. The announcement briefly pushed markets negative, but they recovered by close, buoyed by optimism over a separate U.S.-China trade deal. The looming tariff threat adds volatility risk to markets, especially for cross-border sensitive sectors.
Crypto markets remained buoyant despite token delistings and unlocks, supported by positive tech developments.
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🔭 Economic Events: June 30 – July 4, 2025 (Short Week)
Monday, June 30
09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun)
Tuesday, July 1
09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks
09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jun)
10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May)
Wednesday, July 2
08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun)
10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories
Thursday, July 3 (Early close 13:00)
08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings, Jobless Claims, Nonfarm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate (Jun)
09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun)
10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI & Prices (Jun)
Friday, July 4
US Markets Closed – Independence Day
💼 Earnings to Watch: June 30 – July 2, 2025
Monday, June 30: $PRGS, $QMCO
Tuesday, July 1: $MSM, $STZ, $GBX
Wednesday, July 2: $UNF, $FC, $ZENV
Thursday, July 3: No major earnings expected
Friday, July 4: US Markets Closed
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🔥 Trader Tips for the Week Ahead
Manage Volatility: Expect price swings amid geopolitical tensions and U.S.-Canada trade uncertainty. Use stops and position sizing wisely.
Watch Key Levels: S&P 500 support near 6147 (minor) and 6009 (major)
Follow Earnings & Catalysts: Tesla’s July 2 delivery numbers and Amazon’s Prime Day (July 8–11) could trigger volatility in those names and sectors.
Stay Agile: Markets are primed for quick reactions to Fed commentary and trade updates — be ready to adapt your strategy.
Focus on Risk-Reward: Prioritize setups with clear risk controls over chasing high volatility.
📊 Key Levels & Trade Setups
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