JR28 Weekly Market Insights

June 16th – June 20th, 2025

📬 JR28 Weekly Market Outlook

Week of June 16–20, 2025
👔 Happy Father’s Day!
Here’s to the dads who lead with strength, wisdom, and patience — just like a seasoned trader in a volatile market. Cheers to you.

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✨ Weekly Inspiration

"The best way to predict the future is to create it."
— Peter Drucker

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🔙 Last Week Recap (June 9–13)

• S&P -0.39% | Nasdaq -0.60% | Dow -1.32%

• Markets rallied early on U.S.–China trade progress and cooler inflation data.

• Friday sell-off triggered by escalating Middle East tensions.

• Bond yields dipped: 10-yr at ~4.42%.

• Oil spiked to ~$74 amid geopolitical risk.

• Boeing (BA) also dragged markets after a tragic Air India crash led to renewed safety concerns and a sell-off in aerospace stocks.

• Oracle +13% on strong earnings; Adobe/Chewy mixed.

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📅 Economic Events: June 9–13

Monday:

• Empire State Manufacturing (8:30 AM)

• China Retail Sales & Industrial Production (Sunday night)

Tuesday:

• U.S. Retail Sales (8:30 AM)

• U.S. Industrial Production (9:15 AM)

• Canada CPI (8:30 AM)

Wednesday:

• FOMC Rate Decision + Powell Press Conference (2:00 PM)

• U.S. Housing Starts (8:30 AM)

• 🇺🇸 U.S. Markets Closed – Juneteenth

Thursday:

• Bank of England Rate Decision (7:00 AM)

• U.S. Jobless Claims (8:30 AM)

• Eurozone CPI (5:00 AM)

Friday:

• U.S. Existing Home Sales (10:00 AM)

• Japan CPI (Thurs 7:30 PM)

• Germany PPI (2:00 AM)

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📈 💰 Earnings to Watch

• Mon: Lennar (LEN)

• Tues: Jabil (JBL), La-Z-Boy (LZB)

• Wed: Korn Ferry (KFY), Smith & Wesson (SWBI)

• Fri: Accenture (ACN), Kroger (KR), Darden (DRI), CarMax (KMX)

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📊 Outlook & Strategy (Week of June 9)

SPX

Continuation from last weeks’ plan as we did not yet get a decisive move off 6009 level.

➡️ This week:

• 6009 = key level

• Above → target 6147

• Below → watch the gap fill at 5720

QQQ

No change — still bullish above 504.
➡️ Holding above → continue targeting all-time highs

IWM

Early signs of breakout momentum.
➡️ Holding above 205 opens the door to 221 next.

📌 A confirmed breakout above 221 could signal broad market rotation and upside momentum into June.

⚙️ Stocks to Watch: Trade Setups