JR28 Weekly Market Insights

Week of May 12th, 2025, thru May 16th, 2025

🗓️ JR28 Weekly Newsletter: May 5 – May 9th

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✨ Weekly Inspiration

"You will never always be motivated, so you must learn to be disciplined."

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🧠 Market Recap – Week of May 6–10

The S&P 500 snapped a nine-session winning streak but stayed near its April highs, buoyed by optimism around U.S.-China trade talks and a robust jobs report. Despite a modest pullback of 0.5% for the week, stocks closed little changed on Friday as traders braced for clarity from ongoing trade negotiations. Treasury yields crept higher, and Bitcoin soared past $100,000, signaling a mix of cautious optimism and risk-on sentiment.

Last week, our plan highlighted the importance of the 5,646 resistance level, noting it could trigger short-covering if broken. We opened the week at 5,655, dipped to 5,578, then rallied as high as 5,720 before closing nearly flat at 5,659. While the market respected the breakout zone, the tight range suggests indecision ahead of this week’s CPI and retail data catalysts.

Plan for next week: Observe continuation within this rising wedge. Dips to any at 5646 area likely get supported for continuation up to 5762.

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📅 Economic Calendar: Week of May 12–16, 2025

Tues, May 13
• 08:30 – Core CPI (MoM) (Apr)
• 08:30 – CPI (MoM) (Apr)
• 08:30 – CPI (YoY) (Apr)

Wed, May 14
• 10:30 – Crude Oil Inventories

Thurs, May 15
• 08:30 – Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)
• 08:30 – Initial Jobless Claims
• 08:30 – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index (May)
• 08:30 – PPI (MoM) (Apr)
• 08:30 – Retail Sales (MoM) (Apr)
• 08:40 – Fed Chair Powell Speaks

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💼 Earnings to Watch

Mon, May 12 – Monday.com (MNDY), Plug Power (PLUG), Hertz (HTZ), Chegg (CHGG)
Tues, May 13 – JD.com (JD), Sea Ltd. (SE), Honda (HMC), NU Holdings (NU), Under Armour (UAA), Intuitive Machines (LUNR)
Wed, May 14 – Sony (SONY), Dynatrace (DT), Tencent (TCEHY), Cisco (CSCO), Luminar (LAZR)
Thurs, May 15 – Alibaba (BABA), Walmart (WMT), John Deere (DE), Applied Materials (AMAT), CAVA (CAVA), Doximity (DOCS), T2 Biosystems (TTOO)
Fri, May 16 – Flowers Foods (FLO), Brady Corp (BRC), RBC Bearings (ROLL)

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💸 Trade Recap – Last Week’s Plays

NVDA $115C (May 9)
• Entry: $1.40 → Exit: $2.60 (+85%)
• High: $3.80 (+171% from entry)

TSLA $320C (May 30)
• Entry: $3.10 → Exit: $4.40 (+42%)
• High: $8.00+ (+158% from entry)

TTD (Commons)
• Entry: $56.15 → Exit: $74.13 (+32%)

BA (Commons)
• Entry: $142.00 → Exit: $193.74 (+36%)

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🔥 Upcoming: JR28 Copy Trading + Small Account Challenge

We’re getting ready to launch something powerful:

📈 JR28 Copy Trading (Starting with $5K)
💪 Small Account Challenge – $5K → ??

We’ll be running this with full transparency — showing how to manage risk, position size, scale in/out, and trade like a pro even with a small balance. Stay tuned for full details dropping this week inside the Discord and Substack.

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⚡ Futures Trading Recommendation

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QQQ & IWM

Watching potential head & shoulders developing on QQQ. IWM basically flat for the past 3 years

QQQ: I gave 408.71 as the long spot, we are now at 488 and close to forming the right shoulder. Urge caution if 468 gives up, raise the stops, they should be around 468 now.

IWM: I gave 173.39 as the long spot, we are now at 200 and close to overhead resistance of 200 zone. Raise stops to 194.

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📈 Stocks to Watch: Trade Setups